Nate Silver and I went live on Substack Thursday afternoon to sort though some of the messy politics of the moment: There are the immigration raids in Los Angeles and the response from protesters and the Trump administration. There’s a competitive Democratic primary for mayor of New York City. Elon Musk seems to be back in the fold after threatening to fund a third party. We even touched on artificial intelligence.
On the topic of immigration, we debated how an American public that has little trust for the Democratic Party on the issue will react to the Trump administration’s current escalation. And how it reacts to the persistent message the we are in a crisis moment.
The intricacies of ranked choice voting and limited polling make the New York City mayoral race a tricky race to sort through, but Cuomo has a lead according to nearly all of the available polling. Regardless of who wins, the general election could still be very interesting.
Lastly, Nate is more credulous of the idea that…
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