GD POLITICS

GD POLITICS

GD POLITICS
GD POLITICS
Nate Silver Gets Candid On 538 Regrets, Elon Musk, And Democrats' Missteps
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Nate Silver Gets Candid On 538 Regrets, Elon Musk, And Democrats' Missteps

The inaugural episode of the GD POLITICS podcast
Galen Druke's avatar
Nate Silver's avatar
Galen Druke
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Nate Silver
Mar 24, 2025
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The video version of this podcast is available to paid subscribers here.

Nate Silver joins me for a wide ranging and candid interview on the inaugural episode of the GD POLITICS podcast. We talk about what it was like behind the scenes at FiveThirtyEight, which was recently shuttered by ABC News, and some regrets Nate had along the way.

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We also discuss Elon Musk’s increasingly erratic behavior and the public backlash to his cuts at DOGE. Nate also criticizes Democrats’ decision not to force a government shutdown in the recent funding negotiations, which he says, strategically, would have been a “f***ing layup.”

In addition, we touch on Trump’s declining popularity, the likelihood of negative GDP growth this quarter, and why Nate says those still defending Biden’s decision to seek a second term should have no future in politics.

Thanks for reading GD POLITICS! This post is public so feel free to share it.

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Discussion about this episode

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William Wroblicka's avatar
William Wroblicka
Mar 24

I was frankly disappointed by the premier episode of the podcast. Having long been an admirer of Nate Silver, I found his incessant verbal tics (all the "like"s and "right"s), his apparent inability to complete a sentence or hold a thought, and his sometimes hysterical tone to be quite an unwelcome surprise, not that I necessarily disagreed with what little I could follow of his rambling. Galen seemed to be somewhat nonplussed and unsure how to handle him as well. I hope future episodes are better moderated and less cringey.

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Aaron's avatar
Aaron
Mar 25

I loved this episode! It was great hearing the Model Talk intro again and hope you and Nate can make podcasting together a regular thing.

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Paula's avatar
Paula
Mar 25

Happy to hear you again! Just like old times with Nate. Especially looking forward to the show with Clare and Harry. Is there anyway for subscribers to get an unbleeped feed of the podcast. All the bleeping was really annoying.

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Lage Linnarsson's avatar
Lage Linnarsson
Mar 24

Great to see you back! Let it also be known that Trudeau announced his resignation just before the Canadian Liberal surge

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Brian Gold's avatar
Brian Gold
6d

yowza- it took me almost 8 months to discover this show. Luckily I heard GD on Raging Moderates, and so started to binge listen, and half way through this one.

FWIW- a reference to the most recent episode. I am a 57 year old straight married man. I had no idea who Robyn is, until I googled her

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Adam's avatar
Adam
Mar 31

Long time listener and follower of you and Nate. Your line of questioning around what a democratic tea party might look like and who the “best” politicians were sparked my own question you might be a good person to answer in a future podcast: Given both major parties, and government itself have poor approval ratings, why isn’t there more talk (amongst democrats specifically) about government reform? For example Democrats like(d?) to talk about voting rights and tried to sell hard on the danger of Republican authoritarianism, but they didn’t even try to make any proposals to change government to actually prevent authoritarianism or strengthen democracy. (ie. No one is talking about strengthening the house of representatives, taking power away from the speaker of the house to allow popular legislation to pass even if opposed by the party in power, nationally requiring rank choice voting so that people can vote for non-major parties without throwing their vote away, implementing some or any of the ideas from your old series to “fix” gerrymandering - personally I like the idea of larger districts (where possible) represented by the top 3 vote getters in a ranked choice vote). Is it because when a democratic party is in power they are ultimately run by activists who can’t bring themselves to give up power and/or can’t really internalize the idea of being rejected by the people, or is it deeper and this type of reform just isn’t seen as “kitchen table” enough to win elections?

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MhongK1
Mar 28

Enjoyed the episode, glad to hear Model Talk again. Would point out that while we do not know what Trump will do in a more political stance, I think we can agree that he clearly is trying to be the Corporate Executive Dictator that he was pre-politics. With his trips to NASCAR and basically waking up each day and trying to fulfil his daily whims, we can see what Trump wants to do, the bigger issue would be what his subordinates intend to do, which is why we have so much chaos.

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jdkern11
Mar 25

Great first episode, I enjoyed hearing Nate and his hot takes again!

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SuperGion915
Mar 24

Glad to see the Podcast back, I liked hearing back again about Nate, although I felt this episode mas more opinion based than data driven, and I kinda love to hear a lot about the data with opinions being complementary.

Anyways, will stay tuned and glad to see what comes next.

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Matt Ranalletta's avatar
Matt Ranalletta
Mar 24

Is there an RSS feed to subscribe to so we can have this in our podcast players?

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AZ's avatar
AZ
Mar 26

I think there’s an easier way if you subscribe, but: http://gdpolitics.com/feed

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Rachel Roth McKnight's avatar
Rachel Roth McKnight
Mar 24

Let it also be known that B. Spears attacked a paparazzo’s car with a green umbrella.

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Making sense of politics and the world with curiosity, rigor, and a sense of humor.
Making sense of politics and the world with curiosity, rigor, and a sense of humor.
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